Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Caracas FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Caracas FC to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaracas FC to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceCaracas FC or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.47
Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC preview and prediction
The match
Caracas FC host Estudiantes de Merida FC in the Primera División on Monday 3 August, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT). Caracas FC are 2nd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Estudiantes de Merida FC sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Caracas FC's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Santa Fe 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Estudiantes de Merida FC's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Deportivo Tachira FC 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Caracas FC and 0.9 for Estudiantes de Merida FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caracas FC 56%, draw 26%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 18%.
Safer route: Caracas FC or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Caracas FC to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Caracas FC or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Caracas FC 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caracas FC56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.20
Estudiantes de Merida FC18%fair 5.54 · @3.70
2.53Expected goals
1.68Caracas FC xG
0.85Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Caracas FC 1.7 – 0.9 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caracas FC to win✗
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Caracas FC or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caracas FC / FT Caracas FC✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.47
–
Form
Caracas FC – last 6
LLDLWD
31 Jul
vs Santa Fe
0–3
L
24 Jul
@ Santa Fe
0–2
L
24 Jun
vs Aragua FC
1–1
D
27 May
vs Botafogo
1–3
L
5 May
@ Independiente Petrolero
3–2
W
29 Apr
vs Racing Club
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 6
LLLLWL
31 May
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
0–1
L
17 May
vs Carabobo FC
0–2
L
14 May
@ Carabobo FC
0–1
L
9 May
@ Metropolitanos FC
0–2
L
18 Mar
vs Carabobo FC
3–2
W
6 Mar
vs Deportivo La Guaira
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caracas FC and Estudiantes de Merida FC.
What is the prediction for Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is Caracas FC or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers Caracas FC have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our predicted score is Caracas FC 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
