Value bet: Omonia Nicosia to win @ 2.25 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOmonia Nicosia to win ✗53% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.49
Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos preview and prediction
The match
Omonia Nicosia host Pafos in the Super Cup on Thursday 3 September, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Alphamega Stadium.
Form guide
Omonia Nicosia's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Omonia Aradippou 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Pafos's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Karmiotissa 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Pafos 0–2 Omonia Nicosia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Omonia Nicosia and 1.0 for Pafos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Omonia Nicosia to win at 2.25 – 53% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Omonia Nicosia 1–1 Pafos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Omonia Nicosia53%fair 1.90 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Pafos26%fair 3.89 · @2.85
2.60Expected goals
1.59Omonia Nicosia xG
1.01Pafos xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Omonia Nicosia 1.6 – 1.0 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos?
On our numbers Omonia Nicosia have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pafos 26%.
How many goals will there be in Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Omonia Nicosia 1–1 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos?
Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos (Super Cup) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Super Cup · Cyprus · Alphamega Stadium
