US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien preview and prediction
The match
Stade Tunisien travel to 7 March Stadium in the Ligue 1 on Friday 23 October (14:30 WAT) to face US Ben Guerdane. US Ben Guerdane are 1st with 17 points from 7 games (top of the table), while Stade Tunisien sit 3rd on 13 points (in the top four).
Form guide
US Ben Guerdane's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat ES Hammam-Sousse 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Stade Tunisien's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat ES Metlaoui 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
US Ben Guerdane arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Stade Tunisien 0–0 US Ben Guerdane.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for US Ben Guerdane and 1.5 for Stade Tunisien. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: US Ben Guerdane 35%, draw 29%, Stade Tunisien 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 2.30, above our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. Predicted score: US Ben Guerdane 1–1 Stade Tunisien. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
US Ben Guerdane35%fair 2.85 · @2.88
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.45
Stade Tunisien36%fair 2.78 · @2.80
2.90Expected goals
1.44US Ben Guerdane xG
1.46Stade Tunisien xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: US Ben Guerdane 1.4 – 1.5 Stade Tunisien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
On our numbers US Ben Guerdane have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Stade Tunisien 36%.
How many goals will there be in US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
Our predicted score is US Ben Guerdane 1–1 Stade Tunisien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at 7 March Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
