Value bet: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCS Sfaxien to win ✗37% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.47
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien preview and prediction
The match
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer host CS Sfaxien in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer are 6th with 12 points from 7 games (in the top half), while CS Sfaxien sit 8th on 10 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Olympique Béja 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CS Sfaxien's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat CA Bizertin 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and 0.9 for CS Sfaxien. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0–0 CS Sfaxien. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.70
CS Sfaxien37%fair 2.68 · @2.40
1.75Expected goals
0.86Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer xG
0.89CS Sfaxien xG
49%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0.9 – 0.9 CS Sfaxien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CS Sfaxien to win✗
37%
2.68
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.47
–
Form
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer – last 6
DWDWWW
13 Sep
@ Olympique Béja
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs CS Hammam-Lif
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ AS Marsa
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2–0
W
29 May
@ ES Hammam-Sousse
3–2
W
12 May
vs Redeyef
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
CS Sfaxien – last 6
WDWLWD
20 Sep
vs CA Bizertin
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ US Ben Guerdane
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Shooting Stars
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Shooting Stars
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs ES Zarzis
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Stade Tunisien
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and CS Sfaxien.
What is the prediction for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien?
On our numbers Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CS Sfaxien 37%.
How many goals will there be in Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien?
Our predicted score is Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0–0 CS Sfaxien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien?
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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