ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne preview and prediction
The match
US Monastirienne travel to Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium in the Ligue 1 on Wednesday 16 September (16:00 WAT) to face ES Zarzis.
Form guide
ES Zarzis's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Diambars 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
US Monastirienne's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with US Ben Guerdane 3–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished US Monastirienne 3–0 ES Zarzis.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for ES Zarzis and 1.3 for US Monastirienne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ES Zarzis 34%, draw 29%, US Monastirienne 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.30, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ES Zarzis 1–1 US Monastirienne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ES Zarzis34%fair 2.92 · @2.50
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.50
US Monastirienne37%fair 2.69 · @3.10
2.60Expected goals
1.27ES Zarzis xG
1.33US Monastirienne xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: ES Zarzis 1.3 – 1.3 US Monastirienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne?
On our numbers ES Zarzis have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and US Monastirienne 37%.
How many goals will there be in ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne?
Our predicted score is ES Zarzis 1–1 US Monastirienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne?
ES Zarzis vs US Monastirienne (Ligue 1) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
