Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 52% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultES Sahel to win ✓66% · @1.50
Double chanceES Sahel or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.38
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.25
ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui preview and prediction
The match
ES Metlaoui travel to Stade Olympique de Sousse in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 30 August (16:30 WAT) to face ES Sahel. ES Sahel are 10th with 8 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while ES Metlaoui sit 12th on 6 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
ES Sahel's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to ES Tunis 2–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
ES Metlaoui's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Club Africain 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ES Metlaoui arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished ES Metlaoui 2–0 ES Sahel.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for ES Sahel and 0.7 for ES Metlaoui. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ES Sahel 66%, draw 21%, ES Metlaoui 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.38.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.38 – 52% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: ES Sahel 2–0 ES Metlaoui. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ES Sahel66%fair 1.52 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.55
ES Metlaoui13%fair 7.60 · @6.80
2.63Expected goals
1.92ES Sahel xG
0.71ES Metlaoui xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: ES Sahel 1.9 – 0.7 ES Metlaoui expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?
On our numbers ES Sahel have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ES Metlaoui 13%.
How many goals will there be in ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?
Our predicted score is ES Sahel 2–0 ES Metlaoui, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?
ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique de Sousse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
