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Ligue 1 · Tunisia

ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne prediction & analysis

69%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultUS Monastirienne to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.05

ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne preview and prediction

The match

The Ligue 1 sees ES Hammam-Sousse take on US Monastirienne on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT).

Form guide

ES Hammam-Sousse's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

US Monastirienne's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat AS Soliman 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

US Monastirienne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.8 for ES Hammam-Sousse and 1.2 for US Monastirienne. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: ES Hammam-Sousse 0–1 US Monastirienne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

ES Hammam-Sousse28%fair 3.57 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
US Monastirienne48%fair 2.08 · @2.05
1.96Expected goals
0.79ES Hammam-Sousse xG
1.17US Monastirienne xG
41%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–117%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–28%

From our goals model: ES Hammam-Sousse 0.8 – 1.2 US Monastirienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUS Monastirienne to win ✗48%2.082.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT US Monastirienne / FT US Monastirienne ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%6.05–

Form

ES Hammam-Sousse – last 6

LDDLDW
29 Mayvs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer2–3L
11 May@ CS Hammam-Lif1–1D
1 Mayvs Sfax Railways2–2D
27 Apr@ Kerkennah1–2L
22 Apr@ M'saken0–0D
13 Aprvs Menzel Bourguiba3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

US Monastirienne – last 6

WLWWDW
14 Mayvs AS Soliman3–0W
4 Mayvs ES Metlaoui0–1L
29 Aprvs AS Gabes2–0W
22 Marvs Club Africain1–0W
28 Feb@ CA Bizertin0–0D
15 Febvs ES Zarzis3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between ES Hammam-Sousse and US Monastirienne.

ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1US Ben Guerdane7520+617
2ES Tunis7511+416
3Stade Tunisien7412+313
4Club Africain7412+213
5Monastir7331+212
6Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer7331+312
7CA Bizertin7322+111
8CS Sfaxien7241+210
9Jeunesse Sportive Omrane7241+110
10ES Sahel622208
11AS Marsa6132+16
12ES Metlaoui7205-56
13ES Zarzis7205-26
14CS Hammam-Lif7124-35
15Olympique Béja7034-53
16ES Hammam-Sousse7016-101

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?

On our numbers ES Hammam-Sousse have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and US Monastirienne 48%.

How many goals will there be in ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?

Our predicted score is ES Hammam-Sousse 0–1 US Monastirienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?

ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.