Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.05
ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees ES Hammam-Sousse take on US Monastirienne on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT).
Form guide
ES Hammam-Sousse's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
US Monastirienne's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat AS Soliman 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
US Monastirienne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.8 for ES Hammam-Sousse and 1.2 for US Monastirienne. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: ES Hammam-Sousse 28%, draw 24%, US Monastirienne 48%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: ES Hammam-Sousse 0–1 US Monastirienne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ES Hammam-Sousse28%fair 3.57 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
US Monastirienne48%fair 2.08 · @2.05
1.96Expected goals
0.79ES Hammam-Sousse xG
1.17US Monastirienne xG
41%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: ES Hammam-Sousse 0.8 – 1.2 US Monastirienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Monastirienne to win✗
48%
2.08
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Monastirienne / FT US Monastirienne✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.05
–
Form
ES Hammam-Sousse – last 6
LDDLDW
29 May
vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
2–3
L
11 May
@ CS Hammam-Lif
1–1
D
1 May
vs Sfax Railways
2–2
D
27 Apr
@ Kerkennah
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ M'saken
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Menzel Bourguiba
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
US Monastirienne – last 6
WLWWDW
14 May
vs AS Soliman
3–0
W
4 May
vs ES Metlaoui
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs AS Gabes
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Club Africain
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ CA Bizertin
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs ES Zarzis
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Hammam-Sousse and US Monastirienne.
What is the prediction for ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?
On our numbers ES Hammam-Sousse have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and US Monastirienne 48%.
How many goals will there be in ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?
Our predicted score is ES Hammam-Sousse 0–1 US Monastirienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?
ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.