Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShatin to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Shatin vs Hong Kong FC preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Shatin take on Hong Kong FC on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT). Shatin are 11th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Hong Kong FC sit 10th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Shatin's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Hong Kong FC 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Hong Kong FC's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Kitchee 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 October 2026, finished Shatin 2–2 Hong Kong FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.6 for Shatin and 1.4 for Hong Kong FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shatin 64%, draw 15%, Hong Kong FC 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shatin to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shatin 2–1 Hong Kong FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shatin64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw15%fair 6.46 · @3.70
Hong Kong FC21%fair 4.84 · @3.20
4.00Expected goals
2.58Shatin xG
1.42Hong Kong FC xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Shatin 2.6 – 1.4 Hong Kong FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
Our pick is Shatin to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
On our numbers Shatin have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Hong Kong FC 21%.
How many goals will there be in Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
Our predicted score is Shatin 2–1 Hong Kong FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
Shatin vs Hong Kong FC (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
