Kowloon City travel to Hammer Hill Road Sports Ground in the Premier League on Sunday 13 September (09:00 WAT) to face Shatin. Shatin are 11th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Kowloon City sit 6th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Shatin's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to North District 0–5 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Kowloon City's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Eastern 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.8 for Shatin and 1.9 for Kowloon City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shatin 36%, draw 23%, Kowloon City 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Shatin 1–1 Kowloon City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shatin36%fair 2.77 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Kowloon City41%fair 2.44 · @2.20
3.67Expected goals
1.77Shatin xG
1.90Kowloon City xG
70%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: Shatin 1.8 – 1.9 Kowloon City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kowloon City to win✓
41%
2.44
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
35%
2.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kowloon City / FT Kowloon City✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.31
–
Form
Shatin – last 3
LLW
6 Sep
vs North District
0–5
L
28 Aug
@ Warriors
0–3
L
21 Aug
@ Eastern
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kowloon City – last 6
LLLDWL
5 Sep
@ Eastern
0–4
L
29 Aug
@ Southern District
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Warriors
0–3
L
16 May
vs Hong Kong FC
1–1
D
3 May
@ BC Rangers
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Southern District
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shatin and Kowloon City.
What is the prediction for Shatin vs Kowloon City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Shatin vs Kowloon City?
On our numbers Shatin have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kowloon City 41%.
How many goals will there be in Shatin vs Kowloon City?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shatin vs Kowloon City?
Our predicted score is Shatin 1–1 Kowloon City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Shatin vs Kowloon City?
Shatin vs Kowloon City (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Hammer Hill Road Sports Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
