J2 League · Japan · Resonac Dome OitaOita Trinita vs Tochigi City prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.37
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Oita Trinita 1.6 – 1.2 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Oita Trinita hold the edge on home soil with a 49% chance of winning, against 31% for Tochigi City.
Oita Trinita have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Tochigi City have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.3 conceded. Oita Trinita come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.6 for Oita Trinita, 1.2 for Tochigi City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 62%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.37 is close to our fair price of 1.47.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Oita Trinita to win | 49% | 2.05 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 79% | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 62% | 1.62 | 1.58 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | 1.37 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Oita Trinita / FT Oita Trinita | 28% | 3.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 10% | 10.00 | – |
Form
Oita Trinita – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Blaublitz Akita | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Nov | vs Vanraure Hachinohe | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Ventforet Kofu | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | @ Jubilo Iwata | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Albirex Niigata | 5–1 | W |
Tochigi City – last 6
| 8 Nov | vs Omiya Ardija | 0–3 | L |
| 3 Nov | @ Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Oct | vs Iwaki | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Shonan Bellmare | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | vs Fujieda MYFC | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Yokohama FC | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oita Trinita and Tochigi City.
J2 League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albirex Niigata | 16 | -1 | 32 |
| 2 |  Yokohama FC | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 3 |  Kataller Toyama | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 4 |  Vegalta Sendai | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Omiya Ardija | 16 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 7 |  Consadole Sapporo | 16 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 |  Iwaki | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Jubilo Iwata | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Shonan Bellmare | 16 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  Oita Trinita | 16 | +5 | 22 |
| 12 |  Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Sagan Tosu | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 |  Montedio Yamagata | 16 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 |  Tokushima Vortis | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |  Fujieda MYFC | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Tochigi City | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 19 |  Imabari | 16 | -16 | 12 |
| 20 |  Ventforet Kofu | 16 | -22 | 12 |
More J2 League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Oita Trinita vs Tochigi City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Oita Trinita vs Tochigi City?
On our numbers Oita Trinita have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tochigi City 31%.
How many goals will there be in Oita Trinita vs Tochigi City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Oita Trinita vs Tochigi City?
Oita Trinita vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Resonac Dome Oita.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.