J2 League · Japan · Denka Big Swan StadiumAlbirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai prediction & analysis
Vegalta Sendai or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Vegalta Sendai to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 0.9 – 1.9 Vegalta Sendai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Vegalta Sendai travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 15% for Albirex Niigata.
Albirex Niigata have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Vegalta Sendai have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. Vegalta Sendai come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (0.9 for Albirex Niigata, 1.9 for Vegalta Sendai). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Vegalta Sendai or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Vegalta Sendai to win at 1.80 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vegalta Sendai to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Vegalta Sendai or draw ✗ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Half-time result | Vegalta Sendai ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vegalta Sendai / FT Vegalta Sendai ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.39 | – |
Form
Albirex Niigata – last 6
| 21 Oct | vs Sagan Tosu | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Oita Trinita | 1–5 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Shonan Bellmare | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Tokushima Vortis | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ Matsumoto Yamaga | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Blaublitz Akita | 2–2 | D |
Vegalta Sendai – last 6
| 21 Oct | vs Imabari | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Tokushima Vortis | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Montedio Yamagata | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Jubilo Iwata | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Iwaki | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Tochigi City | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albirex Niigata and Vegalta Sendai.
J2 League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albirex Niigata | 16 | -1 | 32 |
| 2 |  Yokohama FC | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 3 |  Kataller Toyama | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 4 |  Vegalta Sendai | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Omiya Ardija | 16 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 7 |  Consadole Sapporo | 16 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 |  Iwaki | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Jubilo Iwata | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Shonan Bellmare | 16 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  Oita Trinita | 16 | +5 | 22 |
| 12 |  Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Sagan Tosu | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 |  Montedio Yamagata | 16 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 |  Tokushima Vortis | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |  Fujieda MYFC | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Tochigi City | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 19 |  Imabari | 16 | -16 | 12 |
| 20 |  Ventforet Kofu | 16 | -22 | 12 |
More J2 League predictions
League hubMontedio Yamagata0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki2
133%2.88X22%3.10245%2.25
GGBoth teams to score
56%@1.75
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Our pick is Vegalta Sendai or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai?
On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vegalta Sendai 62%.
How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.