J2 League · Japan · Resonac Dome OitaOita Trinita vs Ventforet Kofu prediction & analysis
Oita Trinita or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Oita Trinita to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Oita Trinita 1.7 – 0.8 Ventforet Kofu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Oita Trinita hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 15% for Ventforet Kofu.
Oita Trinita have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Ventforet Kofu have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.8 scored and 3.2 conceded. Oita Trinita come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Oita Trinita, 0.8 for Ventforet Kofu). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Oita Trinita or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Oita Trinita to win at 1.85 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Oita Trinita to win ✗ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Oita Trinita or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.94 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Oita Trinita ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Oita Trinita / FT Oita Trinita ✗ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.01 | – |
Form
Oita Trinita – last 6
| 21 Oct | @ Jubilo Iwata | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Albirex Niigata | 5–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Yokohama FC | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Montedio Yamagata | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Fujieda MYFC | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Consadole Sapporo | 1–1 | D |
Ventforet Kofu – last 6
| 21 Oct | vs Yokohama FC | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Iwaki | 0–5 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Tochigi City | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Kataller Toyama | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Omiya Ardija | 1–5 | L |
| 23 Sep | @ Kashima | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oita Trinita and Ventforet Kofu.
J2 League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albirex Niigata | 16 | -1 | 32 |
| 2 |  Yokohama FC | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 3 |  Kataller Toyama | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 4 |  Vegalta Sendai | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Omiya Ardija | 16 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 7 |  Consadole Sapporo | 16 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 |  Iwaki | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Jubilo Iwata | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Shonan Bellmare | 16 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  Oita Trinita | 16 | +5 | 22 |
| 12 |  Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Sagan Tosu | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 |  Montedio Yamagata | 16 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 |  Tokushima Vortis | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |  Fujieda MYFC | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Tochigi City | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 19 |  Imabari | 16 | -16 | 12 |
| 20 |  Ventforet Kofu | 16 | -22 | 12 |
More J2 League predictions
League hubMontedio Yamagata0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki2
133%2.88X22%3.10245%2.25
GGBoth teams to score
56%@1.75
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Oita Trinita vs Ventforet Kofu?
Our pick is Oita Trinita or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Oita Trinita vs Ventforet Kofu?
On our numbers Oita Trinita have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ventforet Kofu 15%.
How many goals will there be in Oita Trinita vs Ventforet Kofu?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Oita Trinita vs Ventforet Kofu?
Oita Trinita vs Ventforet Kofu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Resonac Dome Oita.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.