Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sagan Tosu to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSagan Tosu to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceSagan Tosu or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.54
Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC preview and prediction
The match
Sagan Tosu host Fujieda MYFC in the J2 League on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu are 13th with 20 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Fujieda MYFC sit 16th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sagan Tosu's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Blaublitz Akita 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Fujieda MYFC's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Shonan Bellmare 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Sagan Tosu and 0.7 for Fujieda MYFC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Sagan Tosu to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sagan Tosu or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sagan Tosu 1–0 Fujieda MYFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sagan Tosu61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
Fujieda MYFC17%fair 5.86 · @3.80
2.39Expected goals
1.67Sagan Tosu xG
0.72Fujieda MYFC xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 1.7 – 0.7 Fujieda MYFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagan Tosu to win✓
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sagan Tosu or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.54
–
Form
Sagan Tosu – last 6
LDLLLL
4 Oct
@ Blaublitz Akita
0–1
L
29 Sep
vs Tokyo Verdy
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Montedio Yamagata
0–2
L
23 Sep
@ Vissel Kobe
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Iwaki
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Imabari
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fujieda MYFC – last 6
DLDLDL
3 Oct
vs Shonan Bellmare
1–1
D
29 Sep
vs Cerezo Osaka
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Oita Trinita
1–1
D
23 Sep
@ Kyoto Sanga
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Omiya Ardija
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagan Tosu and Fujieda MYFC.
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
Our pick is Sagan Tosu or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fujieda MYFC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
Our predicted score is Sagan Tosu 1–0 Fujieda MYFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
