Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Albirex Niigata take on Montedio Yamagata on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT) at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Montedio Yamagata sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Albirex Niigata's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Yokohama FC 0–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Montedio Yamagata's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Tochigi SC 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Albirex Niigata 3–4 Montedio Yamagata.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Albirex Niigata and 1.3 for Montedio Yamagata. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Albirex Niigata 1–1 Montedio Yamagata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albirex Niigata39%fair 2.58 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Montedio Yamagata37%fair 2.69 · @2.80
2.60Expected goals
1.32Albirex Niigata xG
1.28Montedio Yamagata xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 1.3 – 1.3 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?
On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Montedio Yamagata 37%.
How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our predicted score is Albirex Niigata 1–1 Montedio Yamagata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?
Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
