Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIwaki to win ✗56% · @1.85
Double chanceIwaki or draw ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.52
Oita Trinita vs Iwaki preview and prediction
The match
Oita Trinita host Iwaki in the J2 League on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Oita Bank Dome. Oita Trinita are 11th with 22 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Iwaki sit 8th on 23 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Oita Trinita's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Vegalta Sendai 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Iwaki's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Fujieda MYFC 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.7 for Oita Trinita and 1.3 for Iwaki. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Iwaki or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Oita Trinita 0–1 Iwaki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oita Trinita21%fair 4.66 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Iwaki56%fair 1.78 · @1.85
2.00Expected goals
0.66Oita Trinita xG
1.34Iwaki xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–014%
0–212%
1–112%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: Oita Trinita 0.7 – 1.3 Iwaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iwaki to win✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Double chance
Iwaki or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iwaki / FT Iwaki✗
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.52
–
Form
Oita Trinita – last 6
DLWDLL
15 Aug
@ Vegalta Sendai
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Shonan Bellmare
0–1
L
7 Jun
vs Montedio Yamagata
1–0
W
30 May
@ Nara Club
3–3
D
17 May
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1–2
L
10 May
vs Sagan Tosu
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Iwaki – last 6
LWWLDL
15 Aug
@ Fujieda MYFC
1–3
L
9 Aug
vs Imabari
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ Parceiro Nagano
3–1
W
7 Jun
@ Tokushima Vortis
0–2
L
30 May
@ Shonan Bellmare
1–1
D
9 May
vs Ventforet Kofu
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oita Trinita and Iwaki.
Our pick is Iwaki or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Oita Trinita vs Iwaki?
On our numbers Oita Trinita have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Iwaki 56%.
How many goals will there be in Oita Trinita vs Iwaki?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oita Trinita vs Iwaki?
Our predicted score is Oita Trinita 0–1 Iwaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Oita Trinita vs Iwaki?
Oita Trinita vs Iwaki (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Oita Bank Dome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
