Value bet: Tochigi City to win @ 2.75 – our chance 49% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTochigi City to win ✗49% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.95
Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Montedio Yamagata take on Tochigi City on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata. Montedio Yamagata are 14th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Tochigi City sit 18th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Montedio Yamagata's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Albirex Niigata 4–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Tochigi City's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Cerezo Osaka 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Tochigi City 3–0 Montedio Yamagata. Across their last 2 meetings Montedio Yamagata have won 0, Tochigi City 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Montedio Yamagata and 1.5 for Tochigi City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Montedio Yamagata 29%, draw 22%, Tochigi City 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Tochigi City to win at 2.75 – 49% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tochigi City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montedio Yamagata29%fair 3.41 · @2.42
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Tochigi City49%fair 2.06 · @2.75
2.60Expected goals
1.09Montedio Yamagata xG
1.51Tochigi City xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.1 – 1.5 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tochigi City 49%.
How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
