Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.71 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.71Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUMM Salal to win ✓72% · @1.14
Double chanceUMM Salal or draw ✓93% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.60
Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal preview and prediction
The match
The Second Division sees Al-Gharafa B take on UMM Salal on Wednesday 4 November, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT). Al-Gharafa B are 12th with 1 points from 6 games (in the bottom three), while UMM Salal sit 5th on 11 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Al-Gharafa B's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Al-Khor 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
UMM Salal's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Al Bidda SC 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UMM Salal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.7 for Al-Gharafa B and 2.4 for UMM Salal. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Gharafa B 7%, draw 21%, UMM Salal 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.90.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.71. Predicted score: Al-Gharafa B 0–2 UMM Salal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Gharafa B7%fair 14.29 · @12.70
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @5.90
UMM Salal72%fair 1.38 · @1.14
3.05Expected goals
0.69Al-Gharafa B xG
2.36UMM Salal xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Al-Gharafa B 0.7 – 2.4 UMM Salal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UMM Salal to win✓
72%
1.38
1.14
Double chance
UMM Salal or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.37
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.71
Half-time result
UMM Salal ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UMM Salal / FT UMM Salal✓
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.60
–
Form
Al-Gharafa B – last 5
LLLLD
28 Oct
@ Al-Khor
0–4
L
14 Oct
@ Al Mesaimeer
0–5
L
7 Sep
vs Muaither SC
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Al-Markhiya
0–3
L
23 Aug
@ Al Bidda SC
1–1
D
0.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
UMM Salal – last 6
DWWWLW
29 Oct
vs Al Bidda SC
0–0
D
14 Oct
@ Al Waab
1–0
W
29 Sep
@ Al-Khor
2–0
W
21 Sep
vs Al Kharaitiyat
1–0
W
7 Sep
vs Al-Khor
1–5
L
30 Aug
@ Al Mesaimeer
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Gharafa B and UMM Salal.
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.71.
Who will win Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal?
On our numbers Al-Gharafa B have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UMM Salal 72%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal?
Our predicted score is Al-Gharafa B 0–2 UMM Salal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal?
Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal (Second Division) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
