Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Al Mesaimeer or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Al Mesaimeer to win @ 1.73 – our chance 66% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Mesaimeer to win ✓66% · @1.73
Double chanceAl Mesaimeer or draw ✓87% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.27
Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B preview and prediction
The match
Al Mesaimeer host Al-Gharafa B in the Second Division on Wednesday 14 October, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT). Al Mesaimeer are 6th with 7 points from 5 games (in the top half), while Al-Gharafa B sit 12th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Al Mesaimeer's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Al-Gharafa 2–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Al-Gharafa B's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Muaither SC 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Al Mesaimeer and 0.6 for Al-Gharafa B. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Mesaimeer 66%, draw 21%, Al-Gharafa B 13%.
Safer route: Al Mesaimeer or draw (87%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Al Mesaimeer to win at 1.73 – 66% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Mesaimeer or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Mesaimeer 1–0 Al-Gharafa B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Mesaimeer66%fair 1.52 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.80
Al-Gharafa B13%fair 7.83 · @3.80
2.42Expected goals
1.79Al Mesaimeer xG
0.63Al-Gharafa B xG
43%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–09%
From our goals model: Al Mesaimeer 1.8 – 0.6 Al-Gharafa B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Mesaimeer to win✓
66%
1.52
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Al Mesaimeer or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Al Mesaimeer ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Mesaimeer / FT Al Mesaimeer✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.27
–
Form
Al Mesaimeer – last 6
LLDLWL
1 Oct
@ Al-Gharafa
2–4
L
22 Sep
vs Al Waab
0–1
L
8 Sep
vs Al Kharaitiyat
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs UMM Salal
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Muaither SC
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs Muaither SC
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Gharafa B – last 3
LLD
7 Sep
vs Muaither SC
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Al-Markhiya
0–3
L
23 Aug
@ Al Bidda SC
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Mesaimeer and Al-Gharafa B.
What is the prediction for Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B?
Our pick is Al Mesaimeer or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B?
On our numbers Al Mesaimeer have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al-Gharafa B 13%.
How many goals will there be in Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B?
Our predicted score is Al Mesaimeer 1–0 Al-Gharafa B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B?
Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B (Second Division) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
