Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.25
Al Mesaimeer vs UMM Salal preview and prediction
The match
The Second Division sees Al Mesaimeer take on UMM Salal on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 15:15 (WAT). Al Mesaimeer are 6th with 7 points from 5 games (in the top half), while UMM Salal sit 5th on 11 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Al Mesaimeer's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat Muaither SC 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UMM Salal's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Qatar U23 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Al Mesaimeer arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Al Mesaimeer and 1.0 for UMM Salal. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Mesaimeer 43%, draw 22%, UMM Salal 35%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Mesaimeer 1–0 UMM Salal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Mesaimeer43%fair 2.30 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
UMM Salal35%fair 2.88 · @2.50
2.11Expected goals
1.14Al Mesaimeer xG
0.97UMM Salal xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Al Mesaimeer 1.1 – 1.0 UMM Salal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Mesaimeer to win✗
43%
2.30
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Mesaimeer / FT Al Mesaimeer✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.25
–
Form
Al Mesaimeer – last 4
WLLW
24 Aug
vs Muaither SC
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs Muaither SC
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Al-Khor
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Al Bidda SC
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UMM Salal – last 6
DLLLLW
25 Aug
vs Qatar U23
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Lokeren-Temse
0–5
L
1 May
@ Al-Gharafa
1–2
L
27 Apr
vs Al Ahli Doha
1–3
L
8 Apr
@ Al-Rayyan SC
0–3
L
24 Mar
vs Al Bidda SC
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Mesaimeer and UMM Salal.
What is the prediction for Al Mesaimeer vs UMM Salal?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Al Mesaimeer vs UMM Salal?
On our numbers Al Mesaimeer have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UMM Salal 35%.
How many goals will there be in Al Mesaimeer vs UMM Salal?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Mesaimeer vs UMM Salal?
Our predicted score is Al Mesaimeer 1–0 UMM Salal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Al Mesaimeer vs UMM Salal?
Al Mesaimeer vs UMM Salal (Second Division) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
