Value bet: Malisheva to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalisheva to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceMalisheva or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Vushtrria vs Malisheva preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees Vushtrria take on Malisheva on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT). Vushtrria are 10th with 3 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Malisheva sit 2nd on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vushtrria's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Vëllaznimi 3–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Malisheva's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Hibernian 1–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Vushtrria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Vushtrria and 1.7 for Malisheva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Malisheva to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Vushtrria 0–1 Malisheva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vushtrria17%fair 5.79 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.35
Malisheva61%fair 1.65 · @1.80
2.49Expected goals
0.77Vushtrria xG
1.72Malisheva xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Vushtrria 0.8 – 1.7 Malisheva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malisheva to win✓
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Malisheva or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malisheva / FT Malisheva✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
Vushtrria – last 6
WWDWWL
23 May
@ Vëllaznimi
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ Istogu
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs 2 Korriku
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Tefik Canga
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Liria Prizren
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Ferizaj
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Malisheva – last 6
LWWLWL
30 Jul
@ Hibernian
1–4
L
23 Jul
vs Hibernian
2–0
W
15 Jul
vs Vllaznia Shkodër
5–0
W
9 Jul
@ Vllaznia Shkodër
1–2
L
31 May
vs Drita
3–2
W
24 May
@ Llapi
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vushtrria and Malisheva.
What is the prediction for Vushtrria vs Malisheva?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vushtrria vs Malisheva?
On our numbers Vushtrria have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Malisheva 61%.
How many goals will there be in Vushtrria vs Malisheva?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vushtrria vs Malisheva?
Our predicted score is Vushtrria 0–1 Malisheva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vushtrria vs Malisheva?
Vushtrria vs Malisheva (Superliga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
