Value bet: Gjilani to win @ 2.55 – our chance 51% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGjilani to win ✓51% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.07
Feronikeli vs Gjilani preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees Feronikeli take on Gjilani on Friday 14 August, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT). Feronikeli are 7th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Gjilani sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Feronikeli's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Ramiz Sadiku 2–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gjilani's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Prishtina e Re 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Feronikeli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Feronikeli and 1.5 for Gjilani. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Gjilani to win at 2.55 – 51% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Feronikeli 0–1 Gjilani. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Feronikeli27%fair 3.66 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Gjilani51%fair 1.97 · @2.55
2.49Expected goals
1.00Feronikeli xG
1.49Gjilani xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–112%
0–29%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Feronikeli 1.0 – 1.5 Gjilani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gjilani to win✓
51%
1.97
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gjilani / FT Gjilani✓
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.07
–
Form
Feronikeli – last 6
WWDLDW
23 May
@ Ramiz Sadiku
2–0
W
23 Mar
@ Tefik Canga
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Liria Prizren
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ Dukagjini
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Suhareka
2–2
D
18 Feb
vs Dinamo Ferizaj
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gjilani – last 6
WWLDLL
31 May
vs Prishtina e Re
3–2
W
24 May
@ Drita
2–0
W
17 May
vs Llapi
1–2
L
3 May
vs Ferizaj
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Malisheva
1–3
L
19 Apr
vs Dukagjini
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Feronikeli and Gjilani.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Feronikeli vs Gjilani?
On our numbers Feronikeli have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gjilani 51%.
How many goals will there be in Feronikeli vs Gjilani?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Feronikeli vs Gjilani?
Our predicted score is Feronikeli 0–1 Gjilani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Feronikeli vs Gjilani?
Feronikeli vs Gjilani (Superliga) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
