San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Sportivo Belgrano to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.54
San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano preview and prediction
The match
San Martin Formosa host Sportivo Belgrano in the Torneo Federal A on Wednesday 12 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at 17 De Octubre. San Martin Formosa are 4th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Sportivo Belgrano sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
San Martin Formosa's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Douglas Haig 4–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sportivo Belgrano's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
San Martin Formosa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for San Martin Formosa and 1.0 for Sportivo Belgrano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin Formosa 44%, draw 22%, Sportivo Belgrano 34%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Sportivo Belgrano to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: San Martin Formosa 1–1 Sportivo Belgrano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin Formosa44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
Sportivo Belgrano34%fair 2.95 · @3.50
2.20Expected goals
1.20San Martin Formosa xG
1.00Sportivo Belgrano xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.2 – 1.0 Sportivo Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Formosa to win✓
44%
2.29
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Formosa / FT San Martin Formosa✓
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.54
–
Form
San Martin Formosa – last 6
WWWLDL
8 Aug
@ Douglas Haig
4–1
W
2 Aug
vs Sol de América
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Bartolomé Mitre
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Sarmiento de La Banda
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
28 Jun
@ Sol de América
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sportivo Belgrano – last 6
DDDDDD
8 Aug
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Atletico Escobar
2–2
D
12 Jul
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
1–1
D
28 Jun
@ El Linqueño
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Formosa and Sportivo Belgrano.
What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano?
On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sportivo Belgrano 34%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–1 Sportivo Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano?
San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
