9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Result9 de Julio Rafaela to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.70
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy preview and prediction
The match
9 de Julio Rafaela host Gimnasia Chivilcoy in the Torneo Federal A on Thursday 13 August, with kick-off at 00:45 (WAT) at El Coloso. 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th with 25 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Gimnasia Chivilcoy sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
9 de Julio Rafaela's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Sportivo Belgrano 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Sportivo Belgrano 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished 9 de Julio Rafaela 2–1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for 9 de Julio Rafaela and 1.0 for Gimnasia Chivilcoy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: 9 de Julio Rafaela 44%, draw 24%, Gimnasia Chivilcoy 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win at 3.70 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
9 de Julio Rafaela44%fair 2.27 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.88
Gimnasia Chivilcoy32%fair 3.10 · @3.70
2.27Expected goals
1.259 de Julio Rafaela xG
1.01Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.3 – 1.0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
On our numbers 9 de Julio Rafaela have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia Chivilcoy 32%.
How many goals will there be in 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 00:45 (West Africa Time) at El Coloso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
