Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D · Portugal

Alcochetense

WWLLW
3–0
FT

Lajense

LWWLW

Alcochetense vs Lajense prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Alcochetense to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAlcochetense to win ✓68% · @1.35
Double chanceAlcochetense or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.38

Win chances

Alcochetense68%fair 1.47 · @1.35
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.40
Lajense13%fair 7.54 · @6.50
2.95Expected goals
2.13Alcochetense xG
0.81Lajense xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Alcochetense 2.1 – 0.8 Lajense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Alcochetense are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 13% for Lajense.

Alcochetense have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Lajense have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.9 goals (2.1 for Alcochetense, 0.8 for Lajense). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).

Our pick is Alcochetense to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.35 is close to our fair price of 1.47.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlcochetense to win ✓68%1.471.35
Double chanceAlcochetense or draw ✓87%1.151.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.851.85
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.66
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.37
Half-time resultAlcochetense ahead at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alcochetense / FT Alcochetense ✓44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12%8.38–

Form

Alcochetense – last 6

WWLLWW
1 Nov@ Amora2–1W
25 Octvs FC Serpa3–1W
18 Octvs Maritimo1–2L
11 Oct@ Santa Clara B0–2L
27 Sep@ Aljustrelense2–0W
20 Sepvs CF Benfica2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lajense – last 6

LWWLWL
1 Novvs Sintrense0–2L
25 Oct@ Lagoa2–1W
18 Octvs Portel2–1W
11 Octvs 1º Dezembro0–1L
4 Octvs Juventude Évora2–0W
27 Sep@ Amora0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alcochetense and Lajense.

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D predictions

FT Imortal Albufeira3 Santa Clara B2 452233 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.37 ✓ FT Aljustrelense0 FC Serpa4 282250 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.20 ✗ FT Lagoa3 Real2 342244 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.24 ✓ FT Portel0 Amora0 212158 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.21 ✓ FT Sintrense1 Vitoria Setubal1 592417 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓ FT 1º Dezembro2 Juventude Évora1 442234 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alcochetense vs Lajense?

Our pick is Alcochetense to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Alcochetense vs Lajense?

On our numbers Alcochetense have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lajense 13%.

How many goals will there be in Alcochetense vs Lajense?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Alcochetense vs Lajense?

Alcochetense vs Lajense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.