Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 55% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +75%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗55% · @3.20
Double chanceLajense or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58% · @2.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal preview and prediction
The match
Lajense host Vitoria Setubal in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Lajense's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Naval 1893 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.0 for Lajense and 1.7 for Vitoria Setubal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 55% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lajense or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lajense 2–1 Vitoria Setubal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lajense28%fair 3.55 · @2.00
Draw55%fair 1.83 · @3.20
Vitoria Setubal17%fair 5.83 · @3.30
3.73Expected goals
2.01Lajense xG
1.73Vitoria Setubal xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%
From our goals model: Lajense 2.0 – 1.7 Vitoria Setubal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
55%
1.83
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Lajense or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Lajense ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lajense / FT Lajense✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
8%
12.07
–
Form
Lajense – last 6
LWDLDL
4 Apr
@ Naval 1893
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Lusitânia
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Mortágua
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs UD da Serra
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Fátima
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Benfica Castelo Branco
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vitoria Setubal – last 2
LL
23 Aug
vs Amora
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ FC Serpa
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lajense and Vitoria Setubal.
What is the prediction for Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal?
Our pick is Lajense or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal?
On our numbers Lajense have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Vitoria Setubal 17%.
How many goals will there be in Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal?
Our predicted score is Lajense 2–1 Vitoria Setubal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal?
Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amora0
Real1