Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Real vs FC Serpa preview and prediction
The match
The Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D sees Real take on FC Serpa on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Real's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Cruz A. 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Serpa's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Louletano 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for Real and 1.7 for FC Serpa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real 36%, draw 21%, FC Serpa 43%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real 1–2 FC Serpa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real36%fair 2.81 · @2.38
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.60
FC Serpa43%fair 2.32 · @2.38
3.26Expected goals
1.54Real xG
1.72FC Serpa xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Real 1.5 – 1.7 FC Serpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Serpa to win✗
43%
2.32
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Serpa / FT FC Serpa✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.45
–
Form
Real – last 6
WLDWWD
20 Sep
@ Cruz A.
3–0
W
18 Sep
vs Academica
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Lajense
5–5
D
12 Sep
vs FBC Riograndense RS
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Amora
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Futebol Com Vida
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Serpa – last 6
DDDWWL
20 Sep
vs Louletano
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Lagoa
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs 1º Dezembro
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs O Grandolense
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Vitoria Setubal
4–2
W
22 Mar
vs Juventude Évora
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real and FC Serpa.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Real vs FC Serpa?
On our numbers Real have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Serpa 43%.
How many goals will there be in Real vs FC Serpa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real vs FC Serpa?
Our predicted score is Real 1–2 FC Serpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Real vs FC Serpa?
Real vs FC Serpa (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
