Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmora to win ✓70% · @1.44
Double chanceAmora or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.27
Amora vs Lajense preview and prediction
The match
The Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D sees Amora take on Lajense on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Medideira Stadium.
Form guide
Amora's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to UD da Serra 3–4 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Lajense's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Fafe 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Amora and 0.8 for Lajense. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Amora 70%, draw 19%, Lajense 11%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Amora to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Amora 2–0 Lajense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amora70%fair 1.42 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.80
Lajense11%fair 9.23 · @6.50
3.06Expected goals
2.27Amora xG
0.79Lajense xG
45%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Amora 2.3 – 0.8 Lajense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amora to win✓
70%
1.42
1.44
Double chance
Amora or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Amora ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amora / FT Amora✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.27
–
Form
Amora – last 6
LDLWDW
20 Sep
vs UD da Serra
3–4
L
13 Sep
@ 1º Dezembro
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Real
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Vitoria Setubal
3–1
W
1 May
@ SC Covilha
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ 1º Dezembro
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lajense – last 6
LDLLWD
20 Sep
@ Fafe
0–4
L
13 Sep
@ Real
5–5
D
6 Sep
vs Vitoria Setubal
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Naval 1893
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Lusitânia
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Mortágua
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amora and Lajense.
Our pick is Amora to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Amora vs Lajense?
On our numbers Amora have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lajense 11%.
How many goals will there be in Amora vs Lajense?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amora vs Lajense?
Our predicted score is Amora 2–0 Lajense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Amora vs Lajense?
Amora vs Lajense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Medideira Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
