Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético Malveira to win ✗39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.79
Fátima vs Atlético Malveira preview and prediction
The match
Fátima host Atlético Malveira in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Fátima are 7th with 11 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Atlético Malveira sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fátima's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with O Elvas 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Atlético Malveira's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Os Marialvas 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Fátima and 1.0 for Atlético Malveira. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fátima 36%, draw 25%, Atlético Malveira 39%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fátima 0–0 Atlético Malveira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fátima36%fair 2.78 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Atlético Malveira39%fair 2.54 · @2.38
1.89Expected goals
0.92Fátima xG
0.98Atlético Malveira xG
39%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Fátima 0.9 – 1.0 Atlético Malveira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Malveira to win✗
39%
2.54
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.79
–
Form
Fátima – last 6
DLLLWD
16 Aug
@ O Elvas
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Oliveira Hospital
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Os Marialvas
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Naval 1893
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Mortágua
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Lajense
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atlético Malveira – last 6
LDDDWL
16 Aug
vs Os Marialvas
0–1
L
31 May
@ Oliveira Hospital
1–1
D
17 May
@ Louletano
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Lagoa
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
4–1
W
8 Mar
@ Moncarapachense
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fátima and Atlético Malveira.
What is the prediction for Fátima vs Atlético Malveira?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Fátima vs Atlético Malveira?
On our numbers Fátima have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlético Malveira 39%.
How many goals will there be in Fátima vs Atlético Malveira?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fátima vs Atlético Malveira?
Our predicted score is Fátima 0–0 Atlético Malveira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Fátima vs Atlético Malveira?
Fátima vs Atlético Malveira (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
