Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.02
Salgueiros vs Machico preview and prediction
The match
Salgueiros host Machico in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B on Friday 4 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Salgueiros are 6th with 11 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Machico sit 2nd on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Salgueiros's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Sousense 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Machico's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Camacha 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.9 for Salgueiros and 0.6 for Machico. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Salgueiros 0–0 Machico. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Salgueiros47%fair 2.15 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.80
Machico30%fair 3.36 · @3.00
1.50Expected goals
0.89Salgueiros xG
0.61Machico xG
49%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–020%
0–114%
1–112%
2–09%
2–15%
From our goals model: Salgueiros 0.9 – 0.6 Machico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salgueiros to win✗
47%
2.15
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.02
–
Form
Salgueiros – last 6
WDDWLD
30 Aug
vs Sousense
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Sanjoanense
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Camacha
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Florgrade
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Leça
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs Vila Real
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Machico – last 6
DWDDWL
30 Aug
vs Camacha
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Beira-Mar
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Estrela Calheta
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Maritimo
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs Vilaverdense
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Camacha
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salgueiros and Machico.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Salgueiros vs Machico?
On our numbers Salgueiros have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Machico 30%.
How many goals will there be in Salgueiros vs Machico?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salgueiros vs Machico?
Our predicted score is Salgueiros 0–0 Machico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Salgueiros vs Machico?
Salgueiros vs Machico (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
