Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSalgueiros to win ✗38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.65
Castro Daire vs Salgueiros preview and prediction
The match
The Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B sees Castro Daire take on Salgueiros on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Castro Daire are 4th with 13 points from 8 games (in the top four), while Salgueiros sit 6th on 11 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Castro Daire's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Estrela Calheta 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Salgueiros's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Feirense 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Salgueiros arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Castro Daire and 1.1 for Salgueiros. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Castro Daire 1–1 Salgueiros. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castro Daire37%fair 2.67 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Salgueiros38%fair 2.61 · @2.70
2.08Expected goals
1.03Castro Daire xG
1.05Salgueiros xG
41%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Castro Daire 1.0 – 1.1 Salgueiros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salgueiros to win✗
38%
2.61
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.65
–
Form
Castro Daire – last 5
WLDWL
4 Oct
vs Estrela Calheta
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Portimonense
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Beira-Mar
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Sousense
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Ovarense
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Salgueiros – last 6
WWDWDD
19 Sep
vs Feirense
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Cinfães
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Machico
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Sousense
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Sanjoanense
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Camacha
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castro Daire and Salgueiros.
What is the prediction for Castro Daire vs Salgueiros?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Castro Daire vs Salgueiros?
On our numbers Castro Daire have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Salgueiros 38%.
How many goals will there be in Castro Daire vs Salgueiros?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castro Daire vs Salgueiros?
Our predicted score is Castro Daire 1–1 Salgueiros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Castro Daire vs Salgueiros?
Castro Daire vs Salgueiros (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
