Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Tarxien Rainbows to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTarxien Rainbows to win ✓48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge League sees Mgarr United take on Tarxien Rainbows on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Mgarr United are 7th with 10 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Tarxien Rainbows sit 1st on 19 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Mgarr United's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Santa Lucía 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Tarxien Rainbows's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Zabbar St. Patrick 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Mgarr United and 1.8 for Tarxien Rainbows. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mgarr United 31%, draw 20%, Tarxien Rainbows 48%.
Value angle: Tarxien Rainbows to win at 2.20 – 48% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Mgarr United 1–2 Tarxien Rainbows. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mgarr United31%fair 3.20 · @2.70
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.50
Tarxien Rainbows48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
3.15Expected goals
1.37Mgarr United xG
1.77Tarxien Rainbows xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Mgarr United 1.4 – 1.8 Tarxien Rainbows expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tarxien Rainbows to win✓
48%
2.07
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tarxien Rainbows / FT Tarxien Rainbows✓
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.77
–
Form
Mgarr United – last 3
DDW
6 Apr
vs Santa Lucía
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Vittoriosa Stars
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Mtarfa
5–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tarxien Rainbows – last 6
DDWDDW
10 May
@ Zabbar St. Patrick
0–0
D
5 May
@ Zabbar St. Patrick
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs Sliema Wanderers
2–1
W
24 Apr
vs Birkirkara
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
3–3
D
14 Apr
vs Hibernians
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mgarr United and Tarxien Rainbows.
What is the prediction for Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows?
On our numbers Mgarr United have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tarxien Rainbows 48%.
How many goals will there be in Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows?
Our predicted score is Mgarr United 1–2 Tarxien Rainbows, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows?
Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
