Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Aymorés to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAymorés to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceAymorés or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Aymorés vs Villa Nova preview and prediction
The match
Aymorés host Villa Nova in the Mineiro 2 on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Aymorés's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Villa Nova 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Villa Nova's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Aymorés 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Villa Nova 1–0 Aymorés. Across their last 3 meetings Aymorés have won 1, Villa Nova 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Aymorés and 0.6 for Villa Nova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 40%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aymorés 63%, draw 22%, Villa Nova 15%.
Safer route: Aymorés or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Aymorés to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aymorés or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aymorés 1–0 Villa Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aymorés63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.00
Villa Nova15%fair 6.77 · @3.70
2.29Expected goals
1.66Aymorés xG
0.63Villa Nova xG
40%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Aymorés 1.7 – 0.6 Villa Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Aymorés or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aymorés vs Villa Nova?
On our numbers Aymorés have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Villa Nova 15%.
How many goals will there be in Aymorés vs Villa Nova?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aymorés vs Villa Nova?
Our predicted score is Aymorés 1–0 Villa Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aymorés vs Villa Nova?
Aymorés vs Villa Nova (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 2 · Brazil
