Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Friendlies Clubs · World

Ponferradina

WDLLD
2–2
FT

Real Madrid II

DDWWL

Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II prediction & analysis

53%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.85Odds
2

Value bet: Real Madrid II to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultReal Madrid II to win ✗38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.89

Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II preview and prediction

The match

Ponferradina host Real Madrid II in the Friendlies Clubs on Wednesday 19 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Ponferradina's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Marino de Luanco 3–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Real Madrid II's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Mirandes 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Real Madrid II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Real Madrid II 0–1 Ponferradina.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Ponferradina and 1.3 for Real Madrid II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Ponferradina 1–1 Real Madrid II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ponferradina38%fair 2.63 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Real Madrid II38%fair 2.62 · @2.88
2.53Expected goals
1.26Ponferradina xG
1.26Real Madrid II xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Ponferradina 1.3 – 1.3 Real Madrid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Madrid II to win ✗38%2.622.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Madrid II / FT Real Madrid II ✗21%4.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.89–

Form

Ponferradina – last 6

WDLLDW
8 Aug@ Marino de Luanco3–0W
1 Augvs Real Avilés1–1D
29 Jul@ Oviedo0–4L
20 Jun@ Celta de Vigo II1–4L
13 Junvs Celta de Vigo II0–0D
6 Jun@ Atlético Madrid II1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Madrid II – last 6

DDWWLW
15 Augvs Mirandes0–0D
8 Aug@ Racing Ferrol2–2D
5 Aug@ Deportivo La Coruña II1–0W
31 Jul@ Albacete2–1W
5 Jun@ Sabadell0–3L
29 Mayvs Sabadell2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Real Madrid II v Ponferradina0–1
Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Elche II2 FC Cartagena0 112%5.80X20%3.65268%1.48 2FC Cartagena to win 68%@1.48 ✗
FT RSD Alcalá1 Gimnástica Segoviana1 121%2.62X58%2.90221%2.50 X2Gimnástica Segoviana or draw 79%@1.44 ✓
FT Krasava Odintsovo0 AEL4 136%2.40X21%3.60243%2.40 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@2.00 ✓
FT Coruxo3 Pontevedra1 123%3.25X13%3.50264%1.95 2Pontevedra to win 64%@1.95 ✗
FT Barcelona2 Al Ahly1 170%1.09X14%9.20215%24.00 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II?

On our numbers Ponferradina have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Madrid II 38%.

How many goals will there be in Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II?

Our predicted score is Ponferradina 1–1 Real Madrid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II?

Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.