Value bet: Real Avilés to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRacing Ferrol to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.53
Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés preview and prediction
The match
Racing Ferrol host Real Avilés in the Friendlies Clubs on Thursday 13 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Racing Ferrol's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Real Madrid II 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Real Avilés's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Racing Santander II 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Racing Ferrol and 1.1 for Real Avilés. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Ferrol 40%, draw 23%, Real Avilés 37%.
Value angle: Real Avilés to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Racing Ferrol 1–1 Real Avilés. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Ferrol40%fair 2.51 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Real Avilés37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
2.31Expected goals
1.18Racing Ferrol xG
1.13Real Avilés xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Racing Ferrol 1.2 – 1.1 Real Avilés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Ferrol to win✗
40%
2.51
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Ferrol / FT Racing Ferrol✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.53
–
Form
Racing Ferrol – last 6
DDDWLL
8 Aug
vs Real Madrid II
2–2
D
17 May
vs Osasuna II
0–0
D
8 May
@ Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Athletic Club II
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Guadalajara
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Celta de Vigo II
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Avilés – last 6
LDDLWL
8 Aug
@ Racing Santander II
1–2
L
5 Aug
@ Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Ponferradina
1–1
D
29 Jul
@ Marino de Luanco
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Ourense CF
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Zamora
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Ferrol and Real Avilés.
What is the prediction for Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés?
On our numbers Racing Ferrol have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Avilés 37%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés?
Our predicted score is Racing Ferrol 1–1 Real Avilés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés?
Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnastic2
Huesca2