Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpain W to win ✗43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60
USA W vs Spain W preview and prediction
The match
USA W host Spain W in the Friendlies Women on Wednesday 14 October, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Subaru Park.
Form guide
USA W's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Spain W 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spain W's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat USA W 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spain W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 October 2026, finished USA W 0–2 Spain W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for USA W and 1.4 for Spain W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: USA W 35%, draw 22%, Spain W 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: USA W 1–1 Spain W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
USA W35%fair 2.88 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Spain W43%fair 2.31 · @2.40
2.55Expected goals
1.18USA W xG
1.37Spain W xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: USA W 1.2 – 1.4 Spain W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win USA W vs Spain W?
On our numbers USA W have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spain W 43%.
How many goals will there be in USA W vs Spain W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USA W vs Spain W?
Our predicted score is USA W 1–1 Spain W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is USA W vs Spain W?
USA W vs Spain W (Friendlies Women) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.