III Liga Group 3 · PolandRakow II vs Warta Gorzów prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rakow II 1.4 – 1.4 Warta Gorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Rakow II and Warta Gorzów on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Rakow II have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Warta Gorzów have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Rakow II, 1.4 for Warta Gorzów). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is close to our fair price of 1.87.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rakow II to win ✓ | 41% | 2.47 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rakow II / FT Rakow II ✓ | 22% | 4.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 11.40 | – |
Form
Rakow II – last 6
| 14 Oct | @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Miedź Legnica II | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Polonia Nysa | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Sparta Katowice | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Ślęza Wrocław | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0–0 | D |
Warta Gorzów – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Polonia Nysa | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Sparta Katowice | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Ślęza Wrocław | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Goczałkowice Zdrój | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Stal Brzeg | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Stilon Gorzów | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rakow II and Warta Gorzów.
III Liga Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 16 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 16 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Górnik Polkowice | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Barycz Sułów | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carina Gubin | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 16 | -19 | 14 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 15 | -14 | 13 |
More III Liga Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów?
On our numbers Rakow II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Warta Gorzów 38%.
How many goals will there be in Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów?
Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.