Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSparta Katowice to win ✗56% · @1.85
Double chanceSparta Katowice or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice preview and prediction
The match
Rakow II host Sparta Katowice in the III Liga Group 3 on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Rakow II are 17th with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Sparta Katowice sit 2nd on 36 points (in the top four). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rakow II's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Ślęza Wrocław 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sparta Katowice's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Polonia Nysa 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sparta Katowice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.1 for Rakow II and 1.9 for Sparta Katowice. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rakow II 19%, draw 25%, Sparta Katowice 56%.
Safer route: Sparta Katowice or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sparta Katowice or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Rakow II 1–1 Sparta Katowice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rakow II19%fair 5.40 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.30
Sparta Katowice56%fair 1.77 · @1.85
3.00Expected goals
1.05Rakow II xG
1.95Sparta Katowice xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Rakow II 1.1 – 1.9 Sparta Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Katowice to win✗
56%
1.77
1.85
Double chance
Sparta Katowice or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Sparta Katowice ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Katowice / FT Sparta Katowice✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Rakow II – last 6
WDLLDL
5 Sep
@ Ślęza Wrocław
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Goczałkowice Zdrój
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Stal Brzeg
0–3
L
19 Aug
vs Stilon Gorzów
1–4
L
16 Aug
@ Zagłębie Lubin II
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Odra Bytom Odrzański
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sparta Katowice – last 6
WWWWDW
5 Sep
vs Polonia Nysa
4–0
W
29 Aug
vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Ślęza Wrocław
3–0
W
19 Aug
vs Goczałkowice Zdrój
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Stal Brzeg
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Stilon Gorzów
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rakow II and Sparta Katowice.
What is the prediction for Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice?
Our pick is Sparta Katowice or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice?
On our numbers Rakow II have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sparta Katowice 56%.
How many goals will there be in Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice?
Our predicted score is Rakow II 1–1 Sparta Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice?
Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
