Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Al Najma to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Najma to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceAl Najma or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.27
Al Najma vs Damac preview and prediction
The match
Al Najma host Damac in the Division 1 on Monday 12 October, with kick-off at 16:15 (WAT) at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium. Al Najma are 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Damac sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Najma's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Al Anwar 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Damac's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Al-Adalah 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 March 2026, finished Al Najma 1–3 Damac.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Al Najma and 0.7 for Damac. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Najma 58%, draw 22%, Damac 20%.
Safer route: Al Najma or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Al Najma to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Najma or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Al Najma 1–0 Damac. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Najma58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.10
Damac20%fair 4.97 · @3.75
2.25Expected goals
1.51Al Najma xG
0.74Damac xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.5 – 0.7 Damac expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al Najma or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Najma vs Damac?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Damac 20%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Damac?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Damac?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–0 Damac, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Damac?
Al Najma vs Damac (Division 1) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
