Value bet: Al Okhdood to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Okhdood to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11
Al Okhdood vs Al Najma preview and prediction
The match
Al Najma travel to Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City in the Division 1 on Monday 7 September (18:20 WAT) to face Al Okhdood. Al Okhdood are 15th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Al Najma sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Al Okhdood's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Al Saqer 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Najma's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Al Jabalain 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Al Okhdood and 0.8 for Al Najma. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Okhdood 39%, draw 26%, Al Najma 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Al Okhdood to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Al Okhdood 1–1 Al Najma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Okhdood39%fair 2.57 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.75
Al Najma35%fair 2.84 · @2.30
1.67Expected goals
0.87Al Okhdood xG
0.80Al Najma xG
51%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Al Okhdood 0.9 – 0.8 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Okhdood to win✗
39%
2.57
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.11
–
Form
Al Okhdood – last 6
DDWWLD
31 Aug
@ Al Saqer
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Al Bukayriyah
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Al Taee
2–0
W
18 Aug
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
2–0
W
21 May
@ Al Riyadh
0–1
L
12 May
@ Al Kholood
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Najma – last 6
DLWLWL
1 Sep
vs Al Jabalain
1–1
D
27 Aug
@ Jeddah Club
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Al Jandal
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Al-Ittihad FC
0–3
L
20 May
vs Al Shabab
1–0
W
14 May
@ Al-Fateh
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Okhdood and Al Najma.
What is the prediction for Al Okhdood vs Al Najma?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Al Okhdood vs Al Najma?
On our numbers Al Okhdood have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al Najma 35%.
How many goals will there be in Al Okhdood vs Al Najma?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Okhdood vs Al Najma?
Our predicted score is Al Okhdood 1–1 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Al Okhdood vs Al Najma?
Al Okhdood vs Al Najma (Division 1) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 18:20 (West Africa Time) at Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
