Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Ross County to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDunfermline to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Dunfermline vs Ross County preview and prediction
The match
Dunfermline host Ross County in the League Cup on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at East End Park.
Form guide
Dunfermline's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Ayr Utd 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ross County's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Elgin City 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Ross County arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Dunfermline 3–0 Ross County.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Dunfermline and 1.5 for Ross County. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dunfermline 40%, draw 23%, Ross County 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Ross County to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Dunfermline 1–1 Ross County. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dunfermline40%fair 2.47 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Ross County37%fair 2.74 · @3.00
3.19Expected goals
1.64Dunfermline xG
1.55Ross County xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Dunfermline 1.6 – 1.5 Ross County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dunfermline vs Ross County?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dunfermline vs Ross County?
On our numbers Dunfermline have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ross County 37%.
How many goals will there be in Dunfermline vs Ross County?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunfermline vs Ross County?
Our predicted score is Dunfermline 1–1 Ross County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Dunfermline vs Ross County?
Dunfermline vs Ross County (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at East End Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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