FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Minyor Pernik to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.71
FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod preview and prediction
The match
FK Minyor Pernik host Kostinbrod in the Third League Southwest on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadion Minyor. FK Minyor Pernik are 1st with 39 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Kostinbrod sit 6th on 22 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Minyor Pernik's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Slivnishki geroy 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kostinbrod's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Chavdar Etropole 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Minyor Pernik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.8 for FK Minyor Pernik and 1.0 for Kostinbrod. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Minyor Pernik 59%, draw 17%, Kostinbrod 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: FK Minyor Pernik 1–1 Kostinbrod. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Minyor Pernik59%fair 1.70 · @1.67
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @4.00
Kostinbrod24%fair 4.19 · @3.81
2.89Expected goals
1.84FK Minyor Pernik xG
1.04Kostinbrod xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: FK Minyor Pernik 1.8 – 1.0 Kostinbrod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Minyor Pernik to win✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Half-time result
FK Minyor Pernik ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Minyor Pernik / FT FK Minyor Pernik✓
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.71
–
Form
FK Minyor Pernik – last 6
DWWWLW
24 Oct
@ Slivnishki geroy
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Septemvri Sofia II
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Levski Sofia II
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Slavia Sofia II
5–1
W
4 Oct
vs Beroe
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Botev Ihtiman
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kostinbrod – last 6
WLLWWL
10 Oct
vs Chavdar Etropole
5–0
W
3 Oct
@ CSKA Sofia III
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Balkan Botevgrad
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Belasitsa
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Slivnishki geroy
3–0
W
5 Sep
vs Septemvri Sofia II
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Minyor Pernik and Kostinbrod.
What is the prediction for FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod?
On our numbers FK Minyor Pernik have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Kostinbrod 24%.
How many goals will there be in FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod?
Our predicted score is FK Minyor Pernik 1–1 Kostinbrod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod?
FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod (Third League Southwest) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Minyor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
