Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPafos to win ✗61% · @1.62
Double chancePafos or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.33
Nea Salamis vs Pafos preview and prediction
The match
Pafos travel to Ammochostos Stadium in the 1. Division on Monday 26 October (17:00 WAT) to face Nea Salamis. Nea Salamis are 10th with 8 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Pafos sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Nea Salamis's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat APEA 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pafos's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Riga 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Nea Salamis and 2.1 for Pafos. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nea Salamis 1–2 Pafos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nea Salamis13%fair 7.51 · @4.80
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.50
Pafos61%fair 1.63 · @1.62
3.00Expected goals
0.92Nea Salamis xG
2.08Pafos xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Nea Salamis 0.9 – 2.1 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win✗
61%
1.63
1.62
Double chance
Pafos or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Pafos ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.33
–
Form
Nea Salamis – last 6
WLLWWL
21 Oct
vs APEA
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Apollon Limassol
2–4
L
10 Oct
@ Apoel Nicosia
1–2
L
2 Oct
@ Ermis
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Anorthosis
3–0
W
11 Sep
@ AEL
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pafos – last 6
DDLWLW
22 Oct
vs Riga
1–1
D
19 Oct
vs Apoel Nicosia
0–0
D
15 Oct
@ Atalanta
1–3
L
11 Oct
@ Anorthosis
3–1
W
18 Sep
vs AEL
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ AEK Larnaca
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nea Salamis and Pafos.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Nea Salamis vs Pafos?
On our numbers Nea Salamis have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pafos 61%.
How many goals will there be in Nea Salamis vs Pafos?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nea Salamis vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Nea Salamis 1–2 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nea Salamis vs Pafos?
Nea Salamis vs Pafos (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ammochostos Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
