Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPafos to win ✗67% · @1.40
Double chancePafos or draw ✗91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.42
Pafos vs AEL preview and prediction
The match
AEL travel to Stelios Kyriakidis in the 1. Division on Friday 18 September (18:00 WAT) to face Pafos. Pafos are 6th with 16 points from 9 games (in the top half), while AEL sit 3rd on 18 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pafos's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat AEK Larnaca 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AEL's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Nea Salamis 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Pafos 3–1 AEL. Across their last 3 meetings Pafos have won 3, AEL 0, with 0 draws and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Pafos and 0.6 for AEL. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pafos 67%, draw 24%, AEL 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pafos to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Pafos 1–0 AEL. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pafos67%fair 1.50 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.90
AEL9%fair 10.85 · @7.00
2.50Expected goals
1.90Pafos xG
0.60AEL xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Pafos 1.9 – 0.6 AEL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Pafos to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Pafos vs AEL?
On our numbers Pafos have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AEL 9%.
How many goals will there be in Pafos vs AEL?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pafos vs AEL?
Our predicted score is Pafos 1–0 AEL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pafos vs AEL?
Pafos vs AEL (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stelios Kyriakidis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
