The 1. Division sees AEL take on Nea Salamis on Friday 11 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Alphamega Stadium. AEL are 3rd with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Nea Salamis sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
AEL's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Apoel Nicosia 0–6 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Nea Salamis's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to AEK Larnaca 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.8 goals: 2.7 for AEL and 2.1 for Nea Salamis. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 85% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AEL 49%, draw 22%, Nea Salamis 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AEL 2–2 Nea Salamis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEL49%fair 2.02 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.20
Nea Salamis29%fair 3.48 · @3.40
4.75Expected goals
2.67AEL xG
2.08Nea Salamis xG
68%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–16%
3–26%
3–16%
1–25%
1–15%
From our goals model: AEL 2.7 – 2.1 Nea Salamis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEL to win✓
49%
2.02
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
AEL ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEL / FT AEL✓
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
6%
15.60
–
Form
AEL – last 6
LWWDLL
6 Sep
@ Apoel Nicosia
0–6
L
30 Aug
vs Anorthosis
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Krasava Odintsovo
4–0
W
9 Aug
@ Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Anorthosis
0–1
L
22 Apr
@ Pafos
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nea Salamis – last 6
LDWDWL
6 Sep
vs AEK Larnaca
1–4
L
28 Aug
@ Olympiakos
3–3
D
14 Aug
vs Krasava Odintsovo
7–2
W
12 Aug
vs Anorthosis
2–2
D
21 Jul
@ Busko-Zdroj
4–0
W
19 Apr
@ Karmiotissa
0–1
L
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEL and Nea Salamis.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win AEL vs Nea Salamis?
On our numbers AEL have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nea Salamis 29%.
How many goals will there be in AEL vs Nea Salamis?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEL vs Nea Salamis?
Our predicted score is AEL 2–2 Nea Salamis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is AEL vs Nea Salamis?
AEL vs Nea Salamis (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
