Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPafos to win ✗69% · @1.40
Double chancePafos or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.95
Pafos vs Olympiakos preview and prediction
The match
Olympiakos travel to Stelios Kyriakidis in the 1. Division on Monday 7 September (17:00 WAT) to face Pafos. Pafos are 6th with 16 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Olympiakos sit 9th on 9 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Pafos's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Omonia Nicosia 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Olympiakos's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Nea Salamis 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Pafos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 3.1 for Pafos and 1.4 for Olympiakos. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pafos 69%, draw 19%, Olympiakos 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pafos to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Pafos 3–1 Olympiakos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pafos69%fair 1.45 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.20
Olympiakos12%fair 8.26 · @6.50
4.50Expected goals
3.10Pafos xG
1.40Olympiakos xG
63%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
3–06%
3–25%
2–05%
From our goals model: Pafos 3.1 – 1.4 Olympiakos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Double chance
Pafos or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Pafos ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos✗
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.95
–
Form
Pafos – last 6
WWDDDL
3 Sep
@ Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Karmiotissa
3–0
W
27 Aug
vs Dinamo Tirana
2–2
D
20 Aug
@ Dinamo Tirana
1–1
D
13 Aug
vs Red Bull Salzburg
3–3
D
6 Aug
@ Red Bull Salzburg
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Olympiakos – last 6
DWLLLD
28 Aug
vs Nea Salamis
3–3
D
1 May
vs Omonia Aradippou
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Ethnikos Achna
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Akritas
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Omonia Nicosia
0–5
L
1 Mar
@ AEK Larnaca
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pafos and Olympiakos.
Our pick is Pafos to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Pafos vs Olympiakos?
On our numbers Pafos have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Olympiakos 12%.
How many goals will there be in Pafos vs Olympiakos?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pafos vs Olympiakos?
Our predicted score is Pafos 3–1 Olympiakos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Pafos vs Olympiakos?
Pafos vs Olympiakos (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stelios Kyriakidis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
