Value bet: Nea Salamis to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlympiakos to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.57
Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis preview and prediction
The match
Olympiakos host Nea Salamis in the 1. Division on Friday 28 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at GSP Stadium. Olympiakos are 9th with 9 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Nea Salamis sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Olympiakos's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Omonia Aradippou 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nea Salamis's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Krasava Odintsovo 7–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Nea Salamis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Olympiakos and 1.2 for Nea Salamis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Nea Salamis to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Olympiakos 1–1 Nea Salamis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olympiakos43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Nea Salamis35%fair 2.86 · @3.20
2.58Expected goals
1.38Olympiakos xG
1.20Nea Salamis xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Olympiakos 1.4 – 1.2 Nea Salamis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olympiakos to win✗
43%
2.32
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olympiakos / FT Olympiakos✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.57
–
Form
Olympiakos – last 6
WLLLDL
1 May
vs Omonia Aradippou
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Ethnikos Achna
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Akritas
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Omonia Nicosia
0–5
L
1 Mar
@ AEK Larnaca
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Akritas
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nea Salamis – last 6
WDWLWD
14 Aug
vs Krasava Odintsovo
7–2
W
12 Aug
vs Anorthosis
2–2
D
21 Jul
@ Busko-Zdroj
4–0
W
19 Apr
@ Karmiotissa
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Ayia Napa
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Omonia 29is Maiou
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olympiakos and Nea Salamis.
What is the prediction for Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis?
On our numbers Olympiakos have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nea Salamis 35%.
How many goals will there be in Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis?
Our predicted score is Olympiakos 1–1 Nea Salamis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis?
Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
