Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultABC to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceABC or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.75
ABC vs Nacional AM preview and prediction
The match
ABC host Nacional AM in the Serie D on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT).
Form guide
ABC's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Nacional AM 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Nacional AM's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to ABC 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
ABC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Nacional AM 1–2 ABC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for ABC and 0.6 for Nacional AM. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: ABC 61%, draw 22%, Nacional AM 17%.
Safer route: ABC or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ABC to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ABC 1–0 Nacional AM. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ABC61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @2.80
Nacional AM17%fair 5.80 · @4.60
2.18Expected goals
1.54ABC xG
0.64Nacional AM xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: ABC 1.5 – 0.6 Nacional AM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is ABC to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win ABC vs Nacional AM?
On our numbers ABC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nacional AM 17%.
How many goals will there be in ABC vs Nacional AM?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ABC vs Nacional AM?
Our predicted score is ABC 1–0 Nacional AM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is ABC vs Nacional AM?
ABC vs Nacional AM (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.