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Samgurali vs Meshakhte prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Samgurali to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.95Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSamgurali to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceSamgurali or draw ✓84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43

Samgurali vs Meshakhte preview and prediction

The match

Samgurali host Meshakhte in the David Kipiani Cup on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Samgurali's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with WIT Georgia 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Meshakhte's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Gonio 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Samgurali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Samgurali 3–1 Meshakhte. Across their last 2 meetings Samgurali have won 1, Meshakhte 0, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Samgurali and 1.2 for Meshakhte. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Samgurali to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Samgurali 2–1 Meshakhte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Samgurali62%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.10
Meshakhte16%fair 6.13 · @3.30
3.50Expected goals
2.34Samgurali xG
1.16Meshakhte xG
54%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Samgurali 2.3 – 1.2 Meshakhte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSamgurali to win ✗62%1.601.95 ▲
Double chanceSamgurali or draw ✓84%1.19–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.85–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Half-time resultSamgurali ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Samgurali / FT Samgurali ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.43–

Form

Samgurali – last 6

DWDLWW
26 Jul@ WIT Georgia1–1D
20 Jul@ Spaeri1–0W
24 Jun@ Gagra0–0D
18 Jun@ Dinamo Tbilisi3–5L
13 Junvs Torpedo Kutaisi2–1W
25 Mayvs Saburtalo3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Meshakhte – last 6

WLLDLL
25 Jul@ Gonio2–1W
14 Julvs FC Urartu2–4L
23 Jun@ Saburtalo1–2L
18 Junvs Gagra1–1D
13 Jun@ Rustavi0–1L
30 Mayvs Dinamo Tbilisi1–6L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Samgurali v Meshakhte3–1
8 Mar 2026Meshakhte v Samgurali0–0
Samgurali vs Meshakhte head-to-head page →

More David Kipiani Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

Our pick is Samgurali to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

On our numbers Samgurali have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Meshakhte 16%.

How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

Our predicted score is Samgurali 2–1 Meshakhte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

Samgurali vs Meshakhte (David Kipiani Cup) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.