Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlas W to win ✗73% · @1.28
Double chanceAtlas W or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Necaxa W vs Atlas W preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX Femenil sees Necaxa W take on Atlas W on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Victoria. Necaxa W are 18th with 1 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Atlas W sit 13th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Necaxa W's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Santos Laguna W 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Atlas W's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Tigres UANL W 0–7 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Atlas W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished Atlas W 3–2 Necaxa W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 0.9 for Necaxa W and 2.6 for Atlas W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Necaxa W 9%, draw 19%, Atlas W 73%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlas W to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Necaxa W 0–2 Atlas W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Necaxa W9%fair 11.25 · @7.50
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @5.00
Atlas W73%fair 1.38 · @1.28
3.53Expected goals
0.90Necaxa W xG
2.63Atlas W xG
59%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–29%
0–39%
1–38%
0–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Necaxa W 0.9 – 2.6 Atlas W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Atlas W to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Necaxa W vs Atlas W?
On our numbers Necaxa W have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atlas W 73%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa W vs Atlas W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa W vs Atlas W?
Our predicted score is Necaxa W 0–2 Atlas W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Necaxa W vs Atlas W?
Necaxa W vs Atlas W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
