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Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · Estadio Centenario
1–2
FT

Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Toluca W to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.91Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultToluca W to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.37

Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W preview and prediction

The match

Toluca W travel to Estadio Centenario in the Liga MX Femenil on Sunday 25 October (01:10 WAT) to face Cruz Azul W. Cruz Azul W are 12th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Toluca W sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Cruz Azul W's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Monterrey W 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Toluca W's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Santos Laguna W 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Toluca W 0–4 Cruz Azul W.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.2 for Cruz Azul W and 2.3 for Toluca W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 63%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Toluca W to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cruz Azul W 1–2 Toluca W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Cruz Azul W22%fair 4.56 · @3.10
Draw14%fair 7.07 · @3.40
Toluca W64%fair 1.56 · @1.91
3.45Expected goals
1.20Cruz Azul W xG
2.25Toluca W xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%

From our goals model: Cruz Azul W 1.2 – 2.3 Toluca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToluca W to win ✓64%1.561.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.161.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.40
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.83–
Half-time resultToluca W ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toluca W / FT Toluca W ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.37–

Form

Cruz Azul W – last 6

LWLLWW
18 Oct@ Monterrey W0–1L
4 Oct@ Necaxa W2–0W
26 Sepvs Guadalajara W0–1L
22 Sep@ Santos Laguna W0–2L
12 Sepvs Pumas UNAM W3–2W
6 Sep@ Querétaro W2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Toluca W – last 6

DWWLWL
20 Octvs Santos Laguna W0–0D
5 Oct@ Pachuca W2–1W
29 Sep@ Necaxa W4–0W
22 Sepvs Tigres UANL W2–7L
15 Sepvs Tijuana W6–0W
6 Sep@ Monterrey W1–5L
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Toluca W v Cruz Azul W0–4
Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W head-to-head page →

Liga MX Femenil table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1América W141211+5037
2Monterrey W141211+3437
3Tigres UANL W141121+3535
4Guadalajara W141004+1730
5Juárez W141004+930
6Toluca W14833+927
7León W14815+325
8Santos Laguna W14716-422
9Pumas UNAM W14626-220
10Pachuca W14617+919
11Atlético San Luis W14617-419
12Cruz Azul W14608-918
13Atlas W14455-1417
14Tijuana W14329-1511
15Querétaro W142111-207
16Atlante W142111-207
17Puebla W141112-294
18Necaxa W140113-491

More Liga MX Femenil predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W?

Our pick is Toluca W to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W?

On our numbers Cruz Azul W have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Toluca W 64%.

How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W?

Our predicted score is Cruz Azul W 1–2 Toluca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W?

Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.